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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

743 markets · page 6 of 31

Polymarket

Open

Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$3.4K Vol▲ 3pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…45678…31Next ›

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$35.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Victorian State Election 2026 — Winning Party

Coalition65¢

3 outcomes

£37 Vol▼ 2pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

The field is effectively a one-person race with Andy Burnham at 40%, but the recent headlines reveal he is already the sitting prime minister without a general election having been called, meaning the market's front-runner is the incumbent who may never face a vote if Labour avoids an election—making the 40% figure a bet on whether a snap election actually occurs, not on a competitive contest.

Andy Burnham 40¢

24 outcomes

Ɱ161K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 6pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Will Narendra Modi leave Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$4.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Andy Burnham Exit Date - Year — Andy Burnham Exit Date - 2028

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

£25 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a hung parliament following the next UK general election?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ278 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Farage 60–70%36¢

6 outcomes

$86.3K Vol▲ 2pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Next Federal Election — Party to Provide the Next Prime Minister of Australia

Labor59¢

3 outcomes

£7 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?

Marine Le Pen79¢

16 outcomes

Ɱ6.6K Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Polymarket

Open

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare35¢

49 outcomes

$3.2M Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Formal 16-year extension

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$518 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Next Reform Leader

Robert Jenrick33¢

7 outcomes

£4 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?

2024-Q4100¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ11.3K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$215K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Trilateral revised deal

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Smarkets

Open

Andy Burnham Exit Date - Year — Andy Burnham Exit Date - 2026

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

£2 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ93 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled94¢

25 outcomes

$162K Vol▼ 1pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Government of the UK report that Darren Jones is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Smarkets

Open

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ71¢

3 outcomes

£1 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ71¢

33 outcomes

$697K Vol▲ 0pts2mo