Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 57 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,992 markets · page 57 of 208

Manifold· Play

Open

Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?

Trump / Russia does not invade81¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ31K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…5556575859…208Next ›

Gregory Bovino

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Belgorod Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

Alexander Shuvaev91¢

32 outcomes

$15 Vol▲ 7pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ167 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Glenn Youngkin

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$16.6K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?

6. Trump wins in 2024, opposition candidate wins in 2028 and assumes office44¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ44K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jeff Bezos

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

IL-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$32.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ526 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Kushner

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$958 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

22–2332¢

7 outcomes

$684K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the winner of 2028 US presidential election be less than 6ft (183cm) tall?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ302 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John McEntee

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$10.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$68.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?

Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election90¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ30.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John Thune

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$460 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL76¢

42 outcomes

$58K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes82¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ23.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Katie Britt

Despite a flurry of legislative activity and media appearances, Senator Katie Britt has shown no concrete signs of a presidential campaign, keeping her 'Yes' odds at 13% — a level that reflects the market's view that her current profile is insufficient to overcome the high bar of a declared run.

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$165 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Elaine Pelino62¢

21 outcomes

$25.4K Vol▲ 2pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ13.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Nikki Haley

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$29K Vol▼ 0pts5mo