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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3867 US elections 2746 Foreign politics 422 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

233 markets · page 5 of 10

Kalshi

Open

John Fetterman

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…34567…10Next ›

Will Raphael Warnock run for president by 2040?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ191 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$19K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jon Ossoff

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$20.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$2.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Polis

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$8.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Hillary Clinton

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$13.1K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Andrew Yang run for president in 2028?

Yes20¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ600 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — J.B. Pritzker

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$8.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$14.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ40.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Josh Shapiro

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Donald Trump Jr.

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$5.5K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Michelle Obama ever run for President?

Michelle Obama has consistently stated she will not run for president, and recent headlines show no shift toward a candidacy, keeping the probability near zero despite her continued public presence.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jon Stewart

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$13.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Raphael Warnock

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.9K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican President confiscate the coins?

The market is betting against a Republican president seizing coins, but the recent announcement of a Trump dollar coin introduces a new symbolic dimension that could shift perceptions of what 'confiscation' means in practice.

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ129 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$12.1K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

James Talarico

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$330 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jeff Bezos run for President before 2060?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mark Cuban

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$14.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$29K Vol5mo