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Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Trump's October 2025 decision to call off a federal troop deployment to San Francisco, after Mayor Lurie publicly opposed it, has made the scenario of Lurie allowing such a deployment during a Trump tenure appear highly unlikely, with the market pricing in the successful local resistance as a lasting precedent.

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1 Vol 0pts

Politics prediction markets

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?

Kash Patel out by July 31?

By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Will Nikolai Patrushev or Dmitry Patrushev succeed Vladimir Putin as president of Russia?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?

TRUMP TIRARÁ LULA DO PODER ATÉ O DIA 31/12/2026

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?

Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?

Trump meets with Putin by September 30?

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2028?

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? — September 30, 2026

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

2026: Putin's approval in Russia decreases?

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? — September 30, 2026

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?