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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3867 US elections 2746 Foreign politics 422 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

709 markets · page 5 of 30

Futuur

Open

UK election called by ...?

June 30, 202740¢

2 outcomes

▲ 0pts11mo

Smarkets

Open

Next Conservative Leader - After Kemi Badenoch

‹ Prev1…34567…30Next ›

Gavin Williamson

26¢

31 outcomes

£507 Vol▼ 7pts2y

Polymarket

Open

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

UBJP71¢

51 outcomes

$34K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro78¢

13 outcomes

$25.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Futuur

Open

Winner of Clacton’s by-election

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

▲ 0pts17d

Smarkets

Open

Exit Date 2026 — Shabana Mahmood 2026 Exit Date

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

£373 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$245K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva, 5-10%34¢

11 outcomes

$8.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

The field is effectively a one-person race with Andy Burnham at 40%, but the recent headlines reveal he is already the sitting prime minister without a general election having been called, meaning the market's front-runner is the incumbent who may never face a vote if Labour avoids an election—making the 40% figure a bet on whether a snap election actually occurs, not on a competitive contest.

Andy Burnham 40¢

24 outcomes

Ɱ161K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Futuur

Open

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo75¢

4 outcomes

▲ 0pts1y

Smarkets

Open

Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: Most seats

Alliance100¢

4 outcomes

£253 Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Polymarket

Open

Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$56K Vol▲ 1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Which party will win the next UK general election?

Labour party35¢

8 outcomes

$241K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a hung parliament following the next UK general election?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ278 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

£131 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes96¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$125K Vol▼ 2pts19d

Kalshi

Open

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$54.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ93 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Smarkets

Open

UK Parliamentary By-Elections in 2026 — Will there be Over 5.5 By-Elections in 2026?

Over 5.583¢

2 outcomes

£60 Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva 5-10%36¢

11 outcomes

$296K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$35.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Smarkets

Open

Andy Burnham Exit Date - Year — Andy Burnham Exit Date - 2027

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

£50 Vol▲ 0pts3y