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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 42 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

1,062 markets · page 42 of 45

Kalshi

Open

Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

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Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

$20.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$37.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$4.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump issue a statement about explicitly calling for John Thune to resign, step down, be replaced, or be removed from his position as Senate Majority Leader before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$17.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Enrique Tarrio

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$21.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Hunter Biden has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$389 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? — Anyone

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$10.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Kash Patel has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$10K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Michael Caputo

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$10K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the President try to fire the Lisa Cook as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$140 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028? — Cancellation

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$14 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the adoption of an inflation index other than CPI for the Renewables Obligation buy-out price before Jan 1, 2028? — Index change

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

ROC recycle removal

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$416 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$586 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 2027

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$140K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 2028

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$88.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027? — Before 2027

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$33.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo