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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 4 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3867 US elections 2746 Foreign politics 422 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

233 markets · page 4 of 10

Kalshi

Open

Abigail Spanberger

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$15.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev123456…10Next ›

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$28.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Logan Paul or Jake Paul run for president in my lifetime?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ59 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?

Don Lemon's odds of announcing a presidential run have jumped 10 points in a week, driven by the viral Hunter Biden interview on his podcast, but there is no evidence he is actually preparing a campaign.

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.7K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Cory Booker

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

$14K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Nikki Haley run for President in 2028?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ850 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$19.6K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Chris Van Hollen

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump Jr run for president in 2028?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ169 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Elise Stefanik

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$3.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Chris Murphy

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$3.2K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Dean Phillips

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$5.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$8.5K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever run for president?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Elissa Slotkin

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$9.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Vivek Ramaswamy

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$7.5K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Gavin Newsom

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$39.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President by 2032?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$16.3K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Hillary Clinton

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$2.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?

Newsom's 95% odds reflect a market pricing in his relentless national positioning and a wide-open primary field, but his wife's evasion and slipping nomination odds hint at a potential gap between ambition and declared candidacy.

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ10.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$6.8K Vol5mo