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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 36 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3978 US elections 2874 Foreign politics 460 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 235 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 111 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

1,062 markets · page 36 of 45

Kalshi

Open

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…3435363738…45Next ›

Will Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$413 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$25.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$3.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$4.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Jordan before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$275 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$25.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$13.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$168 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$3.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$8.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?

The market is heavily bullish on a Yes outcome due to a credible Reuters report (May 21) that Pope Leo XIV will visit Uruguay in November as part of a regional tour, but the absence of formal Vatican confirmation and the inherent uncertainty of papal schedules leave a non-trivial chance for cancellation.

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$26.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027? — USA

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$72K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Blake Lively and Taylor Swift be seen in public before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$9.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2029? — Before Jan 1, 2029

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$608 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$647 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$28.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump recognize the Republic of China? — Before 2027

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$5.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$16K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$158 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Marco Rubio announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$271 Vol▲ 0pts5mo