Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
251 markets · page 3 of 11
Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
The market sees Pope Leo's general rebukes of Trump and 'tyrants' as pointed but not personalized, and his own correction of the media suggests he is avoiding direct name-calling, keeping the odds of a named attack on Vance low.
Yes ≈ 36% chance