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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 23 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

743 markets · page 23 of 31

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$13.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…2122232425…31Next ›

Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ41.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Clémentine Autain

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$1.6K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?

The market heavily discounts a Trump visit to Mexico before 2027, reflecting a relationship defined by escalating tariff threats and border-wall completion rather than diplomatic engagement.

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$11.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?

Yes98¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Ɱ21.8K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$726 Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Valérie Pécresse

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$593 Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$990 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ160 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

François Bayrou

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$5K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Aug 1, 2027? — Before Aug 1, 2027

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$216 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Lula93¢

15 outcomes

Ɱ6.2K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Élisabeth Borne

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$970 Vol8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$586 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$485 Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Marine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ13.7K Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Canadian withdrawal notice

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$2.7K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mexico be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ50 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Mexican withdrawal notice

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Gérald Darmanin

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2075?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ109 Vol▲ 0pts—