Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3978US elections 2874Foreign politics 460Political Leader Tenure 364Future US Presidents 235US Political Timelines 206Leader Tenure Predictions 121US Political Future 111Presidential Candidacy 78Person of the Year Awards 15Sports & Political Leadership 10
5,021 markets · page 13 of 210
Kalshi
Open
Clacton by-election winner?
The field is extremely concentrated on Reform UK at 96%, with the only notable shift being Count Binface's rise to 5% as a protest vote magnet, driven by media coverage of fringe candidates (London Evening Standard, Jul 19) and Farage's graft allegations (Washington Post, Jul 15).
Reform UK96¢
5 outcomes
$912K Vol 0pts1y