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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 754 Growth & recession 287 Inflation 188 Monetary policy 112 Largest Companies 93 Jobs & labor 62 Gasoline Prices 45 Bitcoin Price Levels 19 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 6 Fiscal & trade 6

249 markets · page 6 of 11

Kalshi

Open

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00%

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$908 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…45678…11Next ›

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$4.7K Vol▲ 0pts7mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 10bps? — At least 10bps

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$241 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 12bps? — At least 12bps

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$213 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 15bps? — At least 15bps

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$395 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 18bps? — At least 18bps

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$605 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 20bps? — At least 20bps

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$110 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 25bps? — At least 25bps

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$110 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 30bps? — At least 30bps

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 4bps? — At least 4bps

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$7 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 6bps? — At least 6bps

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 8bps? — At least 8bps

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$116 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.2 trillion

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$323 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.3 trillion

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$202 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.4 trillion

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$415 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.5 trillion

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$201 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.6 trillion

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

$251 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.7 trillion

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$280 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.8 trillion

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$488 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $6.9 trillion

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$227 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $7.0 trillion

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026? — Above $7.1 trillion

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$500 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

US Federal Reserve

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$22.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

What will the median be in the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 dot plot? — Above 3.3%

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$250 Vol▲ 0pts1mo