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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

📊

Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 754 Growth & recession 287 Inflation 188 Monetary policy 112 Largest Companies 93 Jobs & labor 62 Gasoline Prices 45 Bitcoin Price Levels 19 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 6 Fiscal & trade 6

5,779 markets · page 6 of 241

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (112.8)

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

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Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July? — ↓ $680

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$49K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Renew / Renewed / Renewal

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$2.5K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Despite strong delivery numbers, Tesla's massive $25 billion+ investment plan and cash flow concerns have driven the stock down 18%, making the Ark Invest $2000 target by end of 2027 appear highly improbable at current 6% odds.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ93.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (112)

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

$2.7K Vol▼ 2pts5d

Kalshi

Open

7,375 or above

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$1K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ380 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (111.2)

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes72¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$4.2K Vol▲ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

What will Toll Brothers, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Spec Home

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$1K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Do I actually have an edge here? (permanent stock)

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ406 Vol▲ 0pts—

ForecastEx

Open

US Consumer Confidence Index (88)

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? — ↑ 2.5T yuan

Yes66¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$13.6K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

7,415 or above

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Manifold bans "Permanent Stock" markets before 2030

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

ForecastEx

Open

Baltic Dry Index Value (2700)

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes74¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

$6.4K Vol▲ 4pts8d

Kalshi

Open

Gen-AI / Generative AI

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$3.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan? — ↑ 1T yuan

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$8.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

ForecastEx

Open

Baltic Dry Index Value (2700)

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

What will Toast, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Local

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

FlyQuest [LOL stock]

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ25 Vol▲ 0pts4y