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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 726 Growth & recession 286 Inflation 180 Monetary policy 107 Largest Companies 88 Jobs & labor 61 Gasoline Prices 43 Bitcoin Price Levels 15 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 7 Fiscal & trade 6

5,751 markets · page 3 of 240

Manifold· Play

Open

CoreWeave stock price reaches 150 USD by EOY

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ46 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

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Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes84¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$19.3K Vol▲ 5pts2d

Kalshi

Open

Marketplace / Market Place

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (112.8)

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?

The 92% odds on the S&P 500 increasing in 2026 are buoyed by recent supply-side oil adjustments and a few positive sector signals, even though many headlines are local or unrelated, leading to a market that appears to interpret broad resilience more than any clear macroeconomic boom.

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ59.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes83¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

$7.1K Vol▼ 2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Robinhood Chain

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$2.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Hindenburg Research release at least one stock short report in 2030?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ122 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July? — ↓ $690

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$26.4K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

4.45% or above

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$1.6K Vol▼ 2pts5d

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$6.3K Vol▲ 4pts2d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will S&P 500 increase in 2027? (next year)

The 75% odds align closely with the historical base rate for positive S&P 500 years, but the provided headlines contain zero economic or market-moving news, leaving the current probability unexplained by recent events.

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

25,249.86 or above

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$121K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (113.6)

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$9.1K Vol▼ 3pts3d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend

The market strongly expects 'Digger' to earn over $25M in its domestic opening weekend, but with no recent headlines, the basis for this 80% confidence is unclear—it may reflect pre-existing expectations or non-public tracking data rather than new information.

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

7,440 or above

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 5pts1d

ForecastEx

Open

US Consumer Price Index Yearly (3.4)

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts17d

Polymarket

Open

Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$6.1K Vol▲ 12pts10d

Kalshi

Open

Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026

2,500 to 2,999.9922¢

9 outcomes

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

ForecastEx

Open

US Consumer Price Index Yearly (3.3)

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

3 Vol▲ 0pts1mo