Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
5,779 markets · page 11 of 241
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
5,779 markets · page 11 of 241
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 81% chance
Despite a massive Q2 delivery beat that sent Tesla stock surging above $420, the market sees stock price at 3.3x current levels by end of 2027 as very unlikely, suggesting the Ark bear case is priced as a tail event dependent on a perfect execution and macro tailwinds.
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Yes ≈ 88% chance
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Yes ≈ 39% chance
Yes ≈ 51% chance
Yes ≈ 89% chance
Yes ≈ 83% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance