S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.
Summary
The market expects a 73% probability that the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will close up today. Optimism is driven by recent bullish momentum and positive economic data, while downside risks include potential profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainties.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per each market's written rules (USDC, on the Base network).
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Limitless ↗Data from Limitless’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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7 outcomes