S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.

Summary

The market expects a 73% probability that the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will close up today. Optimism is driven by recent bullish momentum and positive economic data, while downside risks include potential profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainties.