Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Anthropic at about a 96% chance — almost certain.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The market heavily favors Anthropic with a 96% probability of having the best AI model by June 2026, while competitors like Google, OpenAI, DeepSeek, Meta, and xAI each have odds below 5%. This suggests traders see Anthropic as the clear frontrunner, though the low probabilities for others could reflect uncertainty about future breakthroughs or shifts in the competitive landscape.
How it resolves
Resolved by Futuur per each question's rules. Futuur runs both play- and real-money sides — we show the real-money (crypto) price.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Futuur ↗Data from Futuur’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.