GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 29% chance — unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 29% right now.
Summary
This market bets on whether gold will first reach $4,900 or drop to $3,700, using Trading Economics closing prices. Current odds show 29% for a pump to $4,900 and 71% for a dump to $3,700. The market resolves when either target is hit first, with no set deadline.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Details:** - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. - **Pump Target:** $4,900.000 - **Dump Target**: $3,700.000 ### **Resolution Criteria:** - The market resolves based on which condition is met first: - **“$4900”** if the Gold (USD/t.oz) price on Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target. - **“$3700”** if the Gold (USD/t.oz) price on Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target. ### **Resolution Details:** - The Trading Economics closing price of Gold (USD/t.oz) for the Resolution Date will be used, specifically: - One-Day view timeframe (“1D”) - Gold (USD/t.oz) price - Only the Gold (USD/t.oz) price reported by Trading Economics will be considered. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable or experiences major changes. - Any circumstance that prevents reliable price tracking at the Resolution Deadline. - Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancelation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.