Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_062426_73
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 10% chance — very unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 10% right now.
Summary
The market assigns a 10% probability that the daily high temperature in Los Angeles on June 24, 2026 will be exactly 73°F. The low odds reflect the inherent difficulty of predicting an exact temperature on a specific date far in advance. Historical data and seasonal norms provide context but are not deterministic.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.