Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Todd Blanche at about a 67% chance — likely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The prediction market for Trump's next Attorney General strongly favors Todd Blanche at 68%, while other potential candidates like Lee Zeldin (8%) and Ron DeSantis (5%) have much lower odds. This suggests widespread belief that Blanche will be selected, but the remaining odds reflect some uncertainty and alternative possibilities.
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
Before January 20th, 2029
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.