Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 29% chance — unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 29% right now.
Summary
This market predicts whether crude oil (WTI) will first reach $120 or drop to $55, with current odds heavily favoring the dump scenario at 71%. The resolution is based on one-minute price updates from Trading Economics. Both outcomes represent extreme moves from recent price levels.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Details:** - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. - **Pump Target:** 120.000 - **Dump Target**: 55.000 ### **Resolution Criteria:** - The market resolves based on which condition is met first: - **“$120”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics reaches or exceeds the Pump Target. - **“$55”** if the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics drops to equal or below the Dump Target. ### **Resolution Details:** - The market resolves based on the one-minute (1m) price updates on the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) chart on the Trading Economics website. - Only the Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) on Trading Economics will be considered. ### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - The [Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) at Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update for seven days straight. - Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking. - Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.