Will the Fed cut the federal funds rate at its July 2026 FOMC meeting?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.
Across venues
· updated 2hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply near-zero chance of a Fed rate cut by July 2026, with the small difference between them likely due to Manifold being play-money, where traders may take small symbolic positions.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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