Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026?
100¢7,000
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
7,000100%
8,00053%
9,0008%
10,0002%
11,0001%
12,0001%
3 more3%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 7,000 at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ8.6K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Futuur
Open
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
Maintain the same rate79¢
4 outcomes
$1.6K Vol 3pts2d