Fable reenabled for Europeans before July 1?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 35% chance — less likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 35% right now.
Summary
This market asks whether Fable will be reenabled for European users before July 1, with current odds at 35% Yes and 65% No. The outcome depends on regulatory decisions and company actions regarding European access.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.