Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
5¢Yes
5% 1 pts all-time
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 5% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 5% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 3000 · —
Total volumeⱮ7.3K
24h volumeⱮ25
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 3000 (—)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Futuur
Open
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
Maintain the same rate79¢
4 outcomes
$1.6K Vol 3pts2d