Which countries will have recessions?

🗂 Part of event: Which countries will have a recession before 2027? →

7¢Yes

8% 1 pts all-time

Yes

7¢

93¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 7% chance — very unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 7% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 31, 2027 · 1y

Total volume$21.2K

24h volume$175

Open interest$6.1K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

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