US trade deficit for 2026?
🗂 Part of event: US trade deficit for 2026? →82¢Above 170 billion
+6 more
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💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Above 170 billion at about a 82% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesFeb 28, 2027 · 7mo
Total volume$13.3K
ListedApr 9, 2026
SourceView on Kalshi ↗
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Feb 28, 2027 (7mo)
Resolution criteria
2026
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Futuur
Open
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
Maintain the same rate76¢
4 outcomes
$1.6K Vol 0pts3d