Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026?

🗂 Part of event: Jobs numbers in October 2026? →

45¢Yes

42% 1 pts all-time

Yes

45¢

55¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 45% chance — a coin toss.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 45% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 6, 2026 · 3mo

Total volume$185

Open interest$1

ListedOct 13, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Nov 6, 2026 (3mo)

Resolution criteria

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 80000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗