Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

🗂 Part of event: S&P close price end of 2026? →

2¢Yes

2% 2 pts all-time

Yes

2¢

98¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo

Total volume$134K

Open interest$111K

ListedDec 23, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗