Will the S&P 500 be between 4800 and 4999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

🗂 Part of event: S&P close price end of 2026? →

1¢Yes

2% 0 pts all-time

Yes

1¢

99¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 1% chance — almost no chance.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 1% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo

Total volume$128K

Open interest$111K

ListedDec 23, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4800-4999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗