Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

🗂 Part of event: Fed decision in Jan 2028? →

2¢Yes

4% 18 pts all-time

Yes

2¢

98¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 26, 2028 · 1y

Total volume$1.6K

Open interest$128

ListedOct 6, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 26, 2028 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗