Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

🗂 Part of event: Fed decision in Jan 2028? →

3¢Yes

11% 0 pts all-time

Yes

3¢

97¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 3% chance — almost no chance.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 3% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 26, 2028 · 1y

Total volume$863

Open interest$429

ListedOct 6, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 26, 2028 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗