Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

🗂 Part of event: Fed decision in Oct 2027? →

60¢Yes

60% 36 pts all-time

Yes

60¢

40¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 60% chance — more likely than not.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 60% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 27, 2027 · 1y

Total volume$11K

Open interest$584

ListedOct 6, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Oct 27, 2027 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗