Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?

🗂 Part of event: Fed decision in Jul 2026? →

66¢Yes

66% 25 pts all-time

Yes

66¢

34¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 66% chance — likely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 66% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJul 29, 2026 · 15d

Total volume$5.7M

24h volume$541K

Open interest$4.1M

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jul 29, 2026 (15d)

Resolution criteria

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗