S&P 500 Futures Price — contract FES_093026_7500
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 58% chance — more likely than not.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 58% right now.
Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Related markets
Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
2 outcomes
US inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI)
The market is overwhelmingly pricing in a below-0.2% month-over-month CPI for June, at 81%, reflecting strong consensus for continued disinflation ahead of the official release later this week.
3 outcomes
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
The field is heavily concentrated on a hold (79%), but the 21% probability of a 25bps hike is significant and has been rising since a July 8 NYT report that some officials favored higher rates at Chair Warsh's first meeting.
5 outcomes
GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?
2 outcomes