Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_062426_77
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 3% chance — almost no chance.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 3% right now.
Summary
This contract pays out if the official high temperature in Los Angeles on June 24, 2026 reaches exactly 77°F. Current odds strongly favor No at 97%, implying the market sees a 77°F high as very unlikely. The assessment relies on historical climate data and daily weather forecast probabilities.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.