Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_062326_73
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
Summary
This contract predicts whether the daily high temperature in Los Angeles on June 23, 2026, will reach 73°F or higher. Current odds heavily favor No at 98%, indicating the market expects the temperature to stay below 73°F. The analysis considers historical climate data and seasonal patterns for Los Angeles in late June.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.