Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,430 markets · page 6 of 185
11 outcomes
The market heavily favors a No resolution because Bitcoin has been trading in the mid-$60K range for weeks, and with only five days left until the July 31 deadline, a sustained rally above $70K would require a massive, unanticipated catalyst that current headlines do not support.
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Despite a sharp decline from above 820 in mid-July, the market is heavily betting on a bounce above 748.22, implying traders see the recent drop as a correction rather than a trend reversal.
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Yes ≈ 68% chance
The market heavily discounts ETH dropping below $1,000 within 48 hours of BTC hitting $50K, despite recent crypto-wide selloffs and geopolitical shocks, because BTC itself is still far from that level and the observation window is tight.
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 25% chance
The market assigns only a 34% chance that Ethereum will trade above $4,000 within 48 hours of Bitcoin first hitting $100,000, reflecting skepticism that Bitcoin will reach that milestone soon and that ETH will follow in lockstep.
Yes ≈ 34% chance
With only five days left in July and Bitcoin trading well below $75,000, the 99% No odds reflect the near-certainty that the minute-candle high will not reach that level; recent bullish headlines about Japan ETFs and miner contracts are long-term developments that do not affect the immediate resolution deadline.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Ethereum's chance to hit $2,000 in July is fading, as altcoin momentum weakens and no positive catalyst emerges, though a flash spike remains possible given the 1-minute candle resolution rule.
Yes ≈ 29% chance