Who airdrops first?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Hyperliquid at about a 58% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Details:** - **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the projects has officially performed an airdrop. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Hyperliquid**" if they perform an airdrop before [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun) does. - Resolves to "[**Pump.fun**](http://Pump.fun)" if they perform an airdrop before Hyperliquid does. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will resolve based on the official announcements of both [Hyperliquid](https://x.com/hyperliquidx) and [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun). - A confirmation of an airdrop date alone will not trigger a “Yes” resolution. Any airdrop must have already occured to trigger resolution. - Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked. ### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome. - Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Related markets
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