Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin before July?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 5% chance — very unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 5% right now.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### Market Dates: - **Market Period:** Upon market publication until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined. ### **Yes/No Criteria:** The market resolves to "**Yes**" if: - Revolut officially announces its the launch of its stablecoin during the market period, AND: - The announced launch date falls within the Market Period. - The stablecoin does not need to start trading The market resolves to "**No**" if: - No launch announcement is made by Market Close. - An announcement is made but the stated launch date falls after Market Close. - Revolut explicitly cancels or indefinitely postpones its stablecoin plans. ### **Resolution Sources:** Primary sources: - Revolut's official blog (<https://www.revolut.com/blog/>). - Revolut's newsroom (<https://www.revolut.com/news/>). Secondary source: - Official Revolut social media channels (X/@RevolutApp). - The following media sources will be considered: Decrypt, CoinDesk, BBC or Reuters. In case of conflicting information, primary sources will take precedence over secondary sources. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Revolut undergoes a major corporate restructuring affecting its crypto operations. - Regulatory changes make the resolution impossible or unreliable. - The official resolution source becomes unavailable. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.