Altseason before July?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 5% chance — very unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 5% right now.
Summary
The market asks whether the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index will reach 75 before July 2026, with current odds heavily favoring No at 95%. This suggests traders see a low probability of a sustained altcoin rally in the near term, though the long timeframe leaves room for shifts in market dynamics.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Details:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the Market Target is reached at any point during the Market Period. - **Market Target:** 75/100 (Altcoin Season Index) ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to **“Yes”** if the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index reaches or surpasses the Market Target at any time during the Market Period. - Resolves to **“No”** if the index does not reach or surpass the Market Target during the Market Period. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market resolves based on the daily and historical updates of the The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index chart. - Only the Altcoin Season Index value as published by CoinMarketCap will be considered. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The Altcoin Season Index is discontinued, materially changed, or becomes unreliable. - CoinMarketCap becomes unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period. - Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking of the index during the Market Period. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.