Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: 65,000 at about a 99% chance — almost certain.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

Summary

The market assigns near-certain probabilities to Bitcoin reaching $65,000 and $75,000 by 2026, while a move to $55,000 is seen as a coin flip. In contrast, the odds for significantly higher targets like $120,000 and $140,000 are very low, indicating traders are heavily focused on moderate price appreciation. This distribution suggests market participants expect relatively stable growth, with limited conviction in extreme upside scenarios.