Ethereum next move: Pump to $3K or Dump to $1.5K?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 16% chance — unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 16% right now.
Summary
The market predicts whether ETH will reach $3,000 or drop to $1,500 first on Binance, with current odds heavily favoring a dump to $1.5K at 84%. The resolution is based on the first touch of either price level using 1-minute close prices. The market remains open until one condition is met, with cancellation clauses for platform disruptions.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
### **Market Details:** - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. - **Pump Target:** $3,000.00 - **Dump Target**: $1,500.00 ### **Resolution Criteria:** - The market resolves based on which condition is met first: - **“$3K”** if the ETH/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target. - **“$1.5K”** if the ETH/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target. ### **Resolution Details:** The market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications: - 1-minute timeframe ("1m"). - Trading View. - "Close" price of each candle. Only the price of ETH/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered. ### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - The ETH/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable. - The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions. - Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking. - Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.