World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
25,505 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 16 of 417
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
25,505 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 16 of 417
6 outcomes
Yes ≈ 55% chance
Yes ≈ 70% chance
11 outcomes
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 72% chance
The field is extremely concentrated on a single outcome—100% for every listed date—indicating near-certainty that Musk posts at least twice between 9am and 9pm CST, driven by his consistent posting behavior and the fact that reposts and replies are excluded, making the threshold low. The only notable shift is the absence of any recent headline about a change in his posting frequency, suggesting the odds are anchored by historical pattern rather than a new catalyst.
807 outcomes
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 13% chance
6 outcomes
The market slightly favors 'No' at 54%, reflecting that the first leg ended in a 0-0 draw, making a both-teams-to-score outcome in the return leg less likely given the defensive trend and the high stakes of the UEFA Conference League qualifier.
Yes ≈ 47% chance
Yes ≈ 91% chance
Yes ≈ 21% chance