World prediction markets
Global events and everything else, aggregated from every source into one neutral view.
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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
The field is unusually concentrated on the low end after a massive 36-point swing in 24 hours, driven by reports that only 3 vessels transited in a single day (Anadolu Ajansı, Jul 17) and that traffic has slowed to a 'trickle' in a 'worst-case scenario' (Fortune, Jul 21), making the 50-74 range the new front-runner despite historically moderate volumes.
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