Bitcoin, Ethereum, and token price and protocol questions, aggregated as live odds across venues.
4,439 markets · page 10 of 185
Yes ≈ 94% chance
31 outcomes
The field is extremely concentrated at the top, with four options already at 100% because Bitcoin has already crossed those thresholds (under 60k, under 70k, under 80k, and over 80k after Feb 4), making the remaining action a battle over whether it will stay above 50k or break higher; the single biggest recent shift is the 44% probability on Under 50k, reflecting a sharp pullback from recent highs near 70k, as noted in the July 11 CryptoTicker article discussing whether BTC can reach $70,000 after the CPI test.
16 outcomes
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Bitcoin is trading near $65,000, only 43% of the way to the $150,000 target with just 36 days left, making a Yes outcome virtually impossible without a parabolic price surge that no headline suggests.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 96% chance
Despite growing buzz around coin-pusher games like RACCOIN, the market remains highly skeptical that this specific individual will actually make one, likely because no concrete announcement or credible signal has emerged.
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
The 63% Yes probability is a persistent, structural pessimism about Bitcoin's short-term technical health, not a response to a single event; traders are anchored to the $55K 'iron bottom' narrative from April and repeated warnings that a breach of $60K support would trigger a flush to that level.
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Analysts see 'bottom building' and holder capitulation, but the market prices only a 56% chance of Bitcoin staying below $55k by year-end, reflecting deep uncertainty about whether the current bearish phase will deepen or reverse before January.
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
With only five days left in July and Bitcoin trading near $64,000, the market sees a drop to $50,000 as virtually impossible, despite bearish technical signals and analyst warnings of a potential slide to $52,000.
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Yes ≈ 77% chance