When will Starship flight 15 happen?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Before 2027-04-01 at about a 90% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
The dates of the last few flights are: Flight 8: 2025-03-06 Flight 9: 2025-05-27 Flight 10: 2025-08-26 Flight 11: 2025-10-13 Flight 12: 2026-05-22 Flight 13: @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-13-happen Flight 14: @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-14-happen
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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