Will Ramzan Kadyrov leave Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027?
🗂 Part of event: Which leaders will leave office in 2026? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 15% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 15% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Ramzan Kadyrov has either officially announced their intention to leave as Head of the Chechen Republic or has actually left Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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