How to read the odds
Cents = probability. What “65¢” means, what the words “likely/coin-toss” map to, and how calibrated it is.
Cents to percent
Just read the cents as a percent: 65¢ ≈ a 65% chance, 22¢ ≈ 22%, 5¢ ≈ a long shot. The “Yes” and “No” prices of a binary market add up to roughly 100¢.
Putting it in words
Roughly: 50% is a coin toss, ~66% is “likely”, ~90% is “very likely”, and 95%+ is “almost certain” — mirrored on the low end. PredictionHub shows this plain-English reading right on each market.
How reliable is it?
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time. But the crowd can be wrong, and a price can lag the news, so treat it as a strong signal, not a guarantee.