What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ The 92% odds reflect a consensus that Bitcoin's historical volatility and the current bullish institutional narrative make a 60%+ rally to $65k by year-end likely, but the market may be underpricing the risk that a major corporate seller like Strategy could cap price action, as recent headlines show they are normalizing sales.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Yes ≈ 10% chance

✨ Bitcoin has already crossed the $90,000 threshold, making the market a foregone conclusion rather than a live prediction.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ The market has reached 100% Yes because the resolution window already opened on November 24, 2025, and Bitcoin has likely already printed a one-minute candle at or below $75,000 on Binance, making the outcome a foregone conclusion rather than a reflection of current price action.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ The market surged to 100% certainty that Bitcoin will hit $65k by year-end, despite a recent rally above $70k and a record shallow dip, suggesting traders are betting on a correction driven by regulatory fears and volatility.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

✨ Despite bullish long-term predictions from figures like Tom Lee and Anthony Scaramucci, Bitcoin's current price near $65K and the 5-month deadline make a 4x rally to $250K seem extraordinarily unlikely, as reflected in the 99% No odds.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

✨ Despite recent volatility and geopolitical shocks, the market prices a crash to $15,000 as a near-impossible event—a 97% No bet that relies on the fact that Bitcoin has not suffered a drawdown of this magnitude since 2018 and every dip in 2026 has been shallow and quickly reversed.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

✨ The market is pricing a 100% chance of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 by year-end 2026, yet the asset currently trades near $63,000 and has only briefly touched that level recently, suggesting the odds reflect a near-certainty that a 4.7% drop will occur within the next 5.5 months, not a reflection of current price action.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ The sharp drop in Yes odds over the past week reflects fading momentum for a dip below $50k, as Bitcoin has surged past $70k and the shallowest 50% dip on record suggests diminished downside risk.

Yes ≈ 35% chance

✨ Despite Bitcoin's recent surge past $70k and a record shallow dip, the 17% Yes odds reflect a market that sees a 50% crash as possible but unlikely, with the +2pt movement suggesting growing concern from regulatory headwinds.

Yes ≈ 18% chance

✨ The market assigns a 93% probability that Bitcoin will not dip to $30,000 by end of 2026, reflecting strong institutional accumulation and resilient price action above $64,000 despite recent rejections, but the 8% Yes odds capture tail risks from repeated technical resistance and weakening spot demand.

Yes ≈ 8% chance

✨ Despite a minor dip on Iran escalation, Bitcoin remains near $63k, making a collapse to $20k by year-end 2026 seem extremely unlikely to traders—the 96% No odds reflect a market that sees the current price floor as resilient and any major selloff as a buying opportunity, not a crash precursor.

Yes ≈ 4% chance

✨ The market is pricing a near-zero chance of Bitcoin hitting $10,000 by end-2026, but the real story is that the shallowest 50% dip on record suggests the asset's floor is rising, making a crash to that level historically unprecedented and structurally unlikely given current institutional and political tailwinds.

Yes ≈ 3% chance

✨ Despite a headline calling a 50% dip the 'shallowest on record,' the market gives near-zero probability to Bitcoin hitting $5,000 by end-2026, implying traders see that level as a catastrophic tail risk rather than a normal correction.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

✨ The market is effectively priced at 100% Yes because Bitcoin has already traded above $70,000 on Binance's one-minute candles, making resolution automatic and immediate regardless of future price action.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ The market is pricing a 100% chance that Bitcoin will hit $75,000 by year-end, yet recent headlines show a mix of bullish forecasts and cautionary signals, including corporate selling and doubts about Bitcoin reaching 1 million BTC. The real story is that the odds reflect a near-certainty based on current price levels and strong institutional momentum, but the resolution condition (any one-minute candle hitting $75,000) is a very low bar that could be triggered even during a volatile spike, making the odds less informative about sustained price levels.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ Bitcoin has already traded above $80,000 on Binance's one-minute chart, making this market a foregone conclusion—the 100% Yes odds reflect a resolved event, not speculation.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

✨ Despite Bitcoin's recent climb to $65K on ETF inflows, the market sees a 90K year-end target as very unlikely, with no headline evidence of a catalyst that could drive a 38%+ surge from current levels in five months.

Yes ≈ 19% chance

✨ The market assigns a near-zero probability to Bitcoin reaching $500k by end of 2026, reflecting the enormous gap from the current ~$65k price and the absence of any credible catalyst for a 7x+ surge within 18 months.

Yes ≈ 1% chance

✨ Despite a flurry of bullish headlines about Japan's Bitcoin ETFs and miner contracts, the market sees a near-zero chance of Bitcoin hitting $1M by end-2026, reflecting the enormous gap between current prices and the target, and the lack of any direct catalyst bridging that gap.

Yes ≈ 1% chance